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Technical Analysis Simplified

The objective of this website is to introduce simple mechanisms for trading based on Technical Analysis. Understanding the market psychology, following a trading system consistently, entering and exiting trades in a disciplined manner all is essential for making consistent profits

IS THIS YET ANOTHER PAID TIPS SITE ?

Dear Readers, this is a purely non-profit initiative and will never become a paid site. Primary objective is to share as much information as possible from real life trading experience to help small traders earn consistently in the market.

Thursday, 18 April 2013

Review of today’s calls–April 18–All calls success

4/18/2013 07:43:00 pm  Unknown  2 comments

  1. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1112 for a target of 1125 with SL at 1095. Target achieved. Above 1112, the stock touched 1127.
  2. Axis Bank – Buy above 1395 for a target of 1405-15 with SL at 1280. Both targets achieved. Above 1395, the stock shot up to 1436.
  3. SBIN – Buy above 2270 for a target of 2280-2300 with SL at 2248. Both targets achieved. Above 2270 , the stock touched 2312.
  4. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1805 for a target of 1812-28 with SL at 1784. First target achieved. Days high at 1817.
  5. Reliance – Sell on rise to 782-785 levels with SL at 792 for a target of 776-72. Days high was 785 and close at 781. No profit/loss.
  6. L&T – Sell below 1425 for a target of 1415 with SL at 1445. Below 1408-10 levels , fresh sell for a target of 1385-90 levels. Call did not trigger.
  7. ONGC – Sell below 325 for a target of 323-319 with SL at 331. Call did not trigger. Days low was 325.10 !!
  8. TCS – Sell below 1460 for a target of 1445, SL for short is 1495. Sustaining below 1430-25 range will take the stock to 1390-50 levels in next few days. Target achieved at 09:36 AM
  9. Ranbaxy – Sell below 442 for a target of 438-34 with SL at 446. Call did not trigger.
  10. Infosys – Sell below 2270 for a target of 2250 with SL at 2285. Below 2250, the stock will touch 2220.Call did not trigger.
Read More

Nifty outlook and stocks to trade on 18 April

4/18/2013 09:15:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

Nifty will face resistance at 5700 followed by 5725-35 and 5760.  Support will be at 5665-5635-5600.

Avoid intraday longs below 5700. Nifty will be positive above 5700 and bullish above 5735.

Intraday calls for 18 April

  1. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1112 for a target of 1125 with SL at 1095.
  2. Axis Bank – Buy above 1395 for a target of 1405-15 with SL at 1280.
  3. SBIN – Buy above 2270 for a target of 2280-2300 with SL at 2248.
  4. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1805 for a target of 1812-28 with SL at 1784.
  5. Reliance – Sell on rise to 782-785 levels with SL at 792 for a target of 776-72.
  6. L&T – Sell below 1425 for a target of 1415 with SL at 1445. Below 1408-10 levels , fresh sell for a target of 1385-90 levels.
  7. ONGC – Sell below 325 for a target of 323-319 with SL at 331.
  8. TCS – Sell below 1460 for a target of 1445, SL for short is 1495. Sustaining below 1430-25 range will take the stock to 1390-50 levels in next few days.
  9. Ranbaxy – Sell below 442 for a target of 438-34 with SL at 446.
  10. Infosys – Sell below 2270 for a target of 2250 with SL at 2285. Below 2250, the stock will touch 2220.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM. Please do not enter into any fresh trades after 3:00 PM.


Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update

Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.


All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.

Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

Review of today’s calls 17 April–All success

4/18/2013 12:38:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

We had all calls in profit today.

  1. Reliance – Sell below 800 for a target of 790. If sustained below790, there is a chance of stock hitting 775 either today or in next 2 trading days. SL for shorts is 814.Achieved all targets. Days low was 769.
  2. BHEL – Buy above183.50 for a target of 184.50-186.50 with SL at 181. First target achieved. BHEL above 183.5 hit the first target 184.5.
  3. L&T – Buy above 1430 for a target of 1445 with SL at 1420. Target touched at opening. No trade was possible.Referring today’s intraday chart of L&T, 20 EMA was sloping continuously down, so no intermediate buying opportunity.
  4. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1085 for a target of 1095 with SL at 1070. Target Achieved. days high was 1111.
  5. SBI –  Buy above 2195 for a target of 2205-2225 with SL at 2170. Target achieved. Days low was exactly at 2195 and high at 2269.
  6. Axis Bank – Buy above 1370 for a target of 1380-90 with SL at 1358.Target achieved. Days high at 1450
  7. Infosys – Sell below 2290 for a target of 2280 with SL at 2305.Target achieved. Below 2290, stock touched 2250.
  8. Ranbaxy – Buy above 450 for a target of 454 – 458 with SL at 445. Call did not trigger. days high was 449.50
  9. Bajaj Auto – Buy on decline to 1770-65 with SL at 1750 for a target of 1780. Sustaining above 1780, fresh buy with SL at 1765 for a target of 1795. Target achieved. Stock sustained above 1780 and touched 1805.
Read More

Wednesday, 17 April 2013

Nifty Outlook and Stocks to Trade on 17 April

4/17/2013 08:56:00 am  Unknown  No comments

Nifty had a fantastic run up on 16th April though the global cues were negative.Most of the sectors have turned buy in both hourly and daily charts. Auto stocks rallied heavily on rate cut hopes and reduction in petrol prices. Banking sector also rallied.Only IT  sector closed in red today.

Sector View for April 17

Nifty View for 17 April

In the short term, on crossing 5700, market will face resistance at 5755 and 5775. Closing above 5775 will trigger hopes in further up move towards 5900.

For 17 April, Nifty will face resistance at 5740 followed by 5755-5775. Support will be 5650.

Avoid intraday longs below 5650. Nifty will be positive above 5700 and bullish above 5740.

Intraday calls for 17 April

    1. Reliance – Sell below 800 for a target of 790. If sustained below790, there is a chance of stock hitting 775 either today or in next 2 trading days. SL for shorts is 814.
    2. BHEL – Buy above183.50 for a target of 184.50-186.50 with SL at 181.
    3. L&T – Buy above 1430 for a target of 1445 with SL at 1420.
    4. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1085 for a target of 1095 with SL at 1070
    5. SBI –  Buy above 2195 for a target of 2205-2225 with SL at 2170.
    6. Axis Bank – Buy above 1370 for a target of 1380-90 with SL at 1358.
    7. Infosys – Sell below 2290 for a target of 2280 with SL at 2305.
    8. Ranbaxy – Buy above 450 for a target of 454 – 458 with SL at 445.
    9. Bajaj Auto – Buy on decline to 1770-65 with SL at 1750 for a target of 1780. Sustaining above 1780, fresh buy with SL at 1765 for a target of 1795.
Please take positions only after 9:30 AM. Please do not enter into any fresh trades after 3:00 PM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.



Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.
Read More

Wednesday, 10 April 2013

Intraday Trading System – Simplified Technical Analysis

4/10/2013 02:27:00 am  Unknown  16 comments

In this course, I am introducing a intraday trading system which is primarily based on MACD indicator used in conjunction with EMAs and Stochastics. This system is intended for scalping, which means – taking small and quick profits. There are certain strict rules to be followed to enter a trade. Following the system religiously can significantly improve the success ratio of intraday trades. 

Trading Strategy

Trading system trigger is an MACD bullish or bearish crossover. Stochastics and Moving averages are used in combination with the MACD signal to enter the trade.
    1. Buy when MACD gives a bullish crossover.
    2. Sell when MACD gives a bearish crossover.
PLEASE NOTE THAT THE ABOVE SYSTEM IS GENERIC, THE RULES BELOW WILL MAKE IT A SPECIFIC SYSTEM. IF YOU ARE FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM, PLEASE FOLLOW ALL THE RULES FOR BUY / SELL STRICTLY.

General Rules -  Applicable for both Buy and Sell

  1. 5 min and 20 min EMA, MACD and  Slow Stochastics are the indicators used.
  2. Stock should be showing a trend. This will be evident from the slope of the EMAs. If EMAs are horizontal, then no trade is possible.
  3. Dual Time Frame Confirmation: 15/30 min chart is in the direction of the trade.
  4. Do not buy near resistance or sell near support. Resistances and Support levels  are - pivot points, days high/ low, previous swing highs, lows etc.
  5. This is a scalping system, so profits should be booked very quickly unless there is a highly bullish or bearish trend .
  6. To give an indication of scalping points assuming the trades are done in F&O in NSE.
    1. Lot size 1000 – take profits when the stock moves by 1 point.
    2. Lot size 250 – take profits when the stock moves by 3-4 points.
    3. Lot size 125 – take profits when the stock moves by 4-5 points.
  7. Which stocks to trade
Trade only on highly liquid pivotal stocks (L&T, Reliance, SBI, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Tata Steel, DLF, Hero Motors, Bajaj Auto, Maruti, Infosys, TCS, ONGC etc)

When to Buy

  1. 20 min EMA is sloping upwards.
  2. MACD gives a bullish cross over.
  3. 5 EMA should be above 20 EMA line.
  4. 5 min candle should close above the 20 EMA line.
  5. Stochastics should not be in overbought condition.
  6. If Stochastics is in buy mode already, enter the trade.
  7. If Stochastics is not in buy mode, wait for the stochastics to give a buy signal and enter the trade.
  8. If Stochastics is overbought, a fresh buy signal can be used to enter if the MACD is still positive.

Where to keep stoploss

Previous Swing low is the stop loss. Previous swing low is the low made in the just previous up move. Please see examples to understand stoploss points.

When to book profits

As indicated before, this is a scalping system. Book profits immediately on seeing profits and exit immediately when the stoploss is hit.
Book full profits , when one of the below conditions occur
  1. MACD gives a bearish crossover and 5 min candle closes below 20 EMA
  2. Stochastics is overbought; %K crosses below %D and moves below the overbought line and 5 min candle closes below 20 EMA.

When to Sell

  1. 20 min EMA is sloping downwards.
  2. MACD gives a bearish cross over.
  3. 5 EMA should be below 20 EMA line.
  4. 5 min candle should close below the 20 EMA line.
  5. Stochastics should not be in oversold condition.
  6. If Stochastics is in sell mode already,  enter the trade.
  7. If Stochastics is not in sell mode,  wait for the stochastics to give a sell signal and enter the trade.
  8. If Stochastics is oversold, a fresh sell signal can be used to enter if the MACD is still positive.

Where to keep stoploss

Previous Swing high is the stop loss. Previous swing high is the high made in the just previous down move. Please see examples to understand stoploss points.

When to book profits

As indicated before this is a scalping system. Book profits immediately on seeing profits and exit immediately when the stoploss is hit.
Book full profits , when one of the below conditions occur
  1. MACD gives a bullish crossover and 5 min candle closes above 20 EMA
  2. Stochastics is oversold; %K crosses above %D and moves above the oversold line and 5 min candle closes above 20EMA.

High Probability Trade Setups

  1. A brief period of consolidation occurs just before  the trade entry.
  2. Buy signal occurs above a key support/resistance level.
  3. Sell signal occurs below a key resistance / support level.
  4. Trade is in the direction of higher time frame charts (15 min /30 min).
  5. Overall market is moving in the direction of the trade.
Note: For the purpose of simplicity, RSI is not included as an indicator. There are other uses of RSI which will be covered in separate lessons.

Intraday Trading System – Simplified Technical Analysis: Examples (Nifty stocks 05 April)

  1. Axis Bank – Intraday Trade
  2. Hero Motors – Intraday Trade
  3. ONGC – Intraday Trade
  4. DLF – Intraday Trade
  5. DR. Reddy – Intraday Trade
  6. Coal India – Intraday Trade
  7. Cipla – Intraday Trade
  8. Reliance Capital – Intraday Trade
Read More

Nifty outlook and stocks to trade on 10April

4/10/2013 12:52:00 am  Unknown  No comments

Nifty touched the resistance of 5600 and fell down continuously today on negative sentiment based on foreign fund selling.

Support of 5530 and 5500was broken today.This has opened up the way for further downfall.

On 10 April, 5535 is the resistance followed by 5575-5600 levels. Support levels are 5450 and 5420.

Avoid intraday longs below 5480. Nifty will be positive above 5535 and bullish above 5575.

Intraday calls for 10 April

  1. ICICI Bank – Sell below 982 for a target of 976 and 969 with SL at 988
  2. SBI –  Sell below 1978 for a target of 1969 with SL at 2000.
  3. Tata Steel – Sell below 303 for a target of 300 with SL at 305.60
  4. Infosys – Sell below 2755 for a target of 2735 with SL at 2770
  5. TCS – Buy above 1515 for a target of 1525 with SL at 1499.
  6. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1728 for a target of 1738 with SL at 1715.
  7. Tata Motors – Buy above 263 for a target of 265 with SL at 259. Above 266, fresh buy for a target of 269 with SL at 264.
  8. ONGC – Sell below 301 for a target of 298 with SL at 304.50
  9. Cipla – Sell below 386 for a target of 382 with SL at 392.50
  10. Ranbaxy – Sell below 426 for target of 422 with SL at 430.50

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM. Please do not enter into any fresh trades after 3:00 PM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.


Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

Tuesday, 9 April 2013

Review of today’s calls 09 April –All calls success

4/09/2013 11:19:00 pm  Unknown  No comments

  1. BHEL – Buy above 185 for a target of 186-187 with SL at 182. Call did not trigger. 185.10 was touched at open and the stock was continuously falling.

  2. Cipla – Buy above 397 for a target of 399-400  with SL at 394.Target achieved. Days high was 401

  3. Reliance – Buy above 797 for a target of 802-809 with SL at 787. Call did not trigger, days high was 795.60

  4. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1730 for a target of 1740 with SL at 1700.Call did not trigger. Days high was 1721.

  5. ICICI Bank – Sell below 985 for a target of 980 with SL at 992. No opportunity to sell. Stock touched 985 at the time of close.

  6. Axis Bank – Sell below 1198 for a target of 1188 with SL at 1210. Call did not trigger. Days low was 1198.80

  7. Infosys – Sell below 2825 for a target of 2815 with SL at 2845. Target achieved. Below 2825, the stock touched 2756.

  8. TCS – Sell below 1475 for a target of 1470-65 with SL at 1485. Call not triggered. Days low was 1477.

  9. L&T – Sell below 1320 for a target of 1314-1308 with SL at 1332. Target achieved. Days low 1313.

  10. Tata Steel – Sell below 304.50 for a target of 303. Below 303, 300 is the target. No opportunity to sell. Stock was below 304.50 within 30 minutes of close.

Read More

Todays Trades 09 April - INFOSYS, ONGC, BHEL

4/09/2013 11:00:00 pm  Unknown  No comments

Posting three trades of today. Two trades based on Opening Range Breakout Trading System. One trade based on Intraday Trading System - Technical Analysis Simplified.

1. Infosys - Opening Range Breakout Trade.

2. ONGC - Intraday Trading System based Trade.

3. BHEL - Opening Range Breakout Trade.

Read More

Nifty Outlook and Stocks to trade on 09 April

4/09/2013 02:04:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

Nifty was range bound and exactly between the 5535-5575 range today as in the pre-market calls.

For 9th April, 5575-80  will again act as a key resistance 5535-30  will be the support.

Above 5580, 5600 – 25 will be the resistance levels.

Support will be at 5530 followed by 5500.

Avoid intraday longs below 5530. Nifty will be positive above 5580 and bullish above 5600.

Intraday calls for 09 April

  1. BHEL – Buy above 185 for a target of 186-187 with SL at 182.
  2. Cipla – Buy above 397 for a target of 399-400  with SL at 394.
  3. Reliance – Buy above 797 for a target of 802-809 with SL at 787.
  4. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1730 for a target of 1740 with SL at 1700.
  5. ICICI Bank – Sell below 985 for a target of 980 with SL at 992.
  6. Axis Bank – Sell below 1198 for a target of 1188 with SL at 1210.
  7. Infosys – Sell below 2825 for a target of 2815 with SL at 2845.
  8. TCS – Sell below 1475 for a target of 1470-65 with SL at 1485.
  9. L&T – Sell below 1320 for a target of 1314-1308 with SL at 1332.
  10. Tata Steel – Sell below 304.50 for a target of 303. Below 303, 300 is the target.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

Review of today’s calls 08 April (All calls success)

4/09/2013 12:05:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

  1. ONGC – Buy above 316 for a target of 317. Crossing and sustaining 317 will result in a target of319. Keep SL at 312. No chance of trade since the stock hit 318 before first 15 minutes.

  2. RELIANCE – Buy above 786 for a target of 792 with SL at 779.Target achieved. Days high 794

  3. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1725 for a target of 1735-50 with SL at 1709. No chance of trade, the stock hit 1727 within first 15 minutes and thereafter it was only falling down. Opening range was acting as huge resistance. ( Please read opening range breakout trading system under day trading course)

  4. Tata Steel – Buy above 309 for a target of 311 with SL at 307. Target achieved. Above 309, Tata Steel touched 312.5

  5. ICICI Bank – Sell below 996 for a target of 985 with SL at 1002. Target almost achieved. Days low 987.

  6. TCS – Sell below 1484 with SL at 1500 for a target of 1470.Below 1484, stock touched 1474.

  7. Axis Bank – Sell below 1214 for a target of 1200 with SL at 1232.Target achieved below 1214, the stock touched 1198.

  8. SBI – Sell below 2060 for a target of 2040. Sustaining below 2040 will give a target of 2020. Keep SL for shorts at 2075. Target achieved. Below 2060 stock touched 2028.

Read More

Monday, 8 April 2013

Nifty outlook and stocks to trade on 08 April

4/08/2013 12:29:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

Nifty ended the last week with a decline of close to 2%.  All sectors except Pharma have turned bearish in the daily charts. Ever since the 200 DMA was crossed, the market has turned extremely bearish and every rise will be faced with huge selling.

Next week , we have Infosys announcing the results on April 12 Friday. On the same day IIP data will also be announced.

Nifty View for 08 April

Nifty crossed below the 200 DMA and is close to touching the first target 5500. Read the earlier post on Nifty outlook here.

Where is Nifty heading to ?

For 08 April, 5575-80 will act as a major resistance. Above 5575, 5600 and 5625 will be the resistance levels.

Support will be at 5535 followed by 5510 and 5480 levels.

Avoid intraday longs below 5535. Nifty will be positive above 5580 and bullish above 5600.

Intraday calls for 08 April

  1. ONGC – Buy above 316 for a target of 317. Crossing and sustaining 317 will result in a target of319. Keep SL at 312.
  2. RELIANCE – Buy above 786 for a target of 792 with SL at 779.
  3. Bajaj Auto – Buy above 1725 for a target of 1735-50 with SL at 1709.
  4. Tata Steel – Buy above 309 for a target of 311 with SL at 307.
  5. ICICI Bank – Sell below 996 for a target of 985 with SL at 1002.
  6. TCS – Sell below 1484 with SL at 1500 for a target of 1470.
  7. Axis Bank – Sell below 1214 for a target of 1200 with SL at 1232.
  8. SBI – Sell below 2060 for a target of 2040. Sustaining below 2040 will give a target of 2020. Keep SL for shorts at 2075.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

Friday, 5 April 2013

Review of todays calls - 05 April ( All calls success)

4/05/2013 11:03:00 pm  Unknown  1 comment

Today we have all calls in profits. 

  1. ICICI Bank – During the previous swing low in March, ICICI bounced from 997 levels. This level is critical support for ICICI Bank. Sustaining below this will open up 990-980 levels intraday. SL for shorts is 1015. 
    Target achieved. Below 997, ICICI touched 985.
  2. TCS – Sell below 1500 for a target of 1490-80 with SL at 1520.No opportunity to sell. Stock touched 1485 in first 15 minutes.
  3. L&T – Sell below 1353 for 1345 with SL at 1368. Below 1345 targets are 1335- 25.Target achieved. Low was 1341.50
  4. Tata Steel – Sell below 303 for a target of 301 with SL at 306. Below 300, Tata Steel will fall to 290 in few trading sessions. Call did not trigger, days low was 303.50
  5. Hero Motors – Sell below 1450 for a target of 1440 with SL at 1465. Target achieved. Below1450, the stock touched 1435 today. 
  6. Axis Bank – Sell below 1240 for a target of 1233. Below 1230, the stock could slip to 1220-1200 levels. Target achieved. Below 1240, Axis touched 1217
  7. BHEL – Sustaining below 177, could give quick 2 points profit up to 175. The stock is likely to bounce strongly from 174, so do not hold shorts for long. If sustained below 174, then there will be heavy fall any day. Stock did not sustain below 177 , closed at 177.20
  8. Reliance Industries – Sell below 764 for a target of 760-756 with SL at 771. Call not triggered. 
Read More

Nifty Outlook and Stocks to trade on 05 April

4/05/2013 02:41:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

Nifty finally made a decisive close below 200 Day Moving Average. Domestic worries related to financial irregularities and political uncertainties, mix of negative news from Europe and US added to the fall. FIIs are also in the selling mode particularly in large caps. This is the reason, we have also been on sell mode in blue chips in the few past few days.

Reality and IT sectors were the biggest losers in todays trade.

Nifty View for 05 April

Resistance levels will be 5600-5625 followed by 5675.

Support levels are 5545 – 5510. Below 5510-5500 levels Nifty will be extremely bearish and no intraday longs are recommended

Intraday Calls for 05 April

  1. ICICI Bank – During the previous swing low in March, ICICI bounced from 997 levels. This level is critical support for ICICI Bank. Sustaining below this will open up 990-980 levels intraday. SL for shorts is 1015
  2. TCS – Sell below 1500 for a target of 1490-80 with SL at 1520.
  3. L&T – Sell below 1353 for 1345 with SL at 1368. Below 1345 targets are 1335- 25.
  4. Tata Steel – Sell below 303 for a target of 301 with SL at 306. Below 300, Tata Steel will fall to 290 in few trading sessions.
  5. Hero Motors – Sell below 1450 for a target of 1440 with SL at 1465.
  6. Axis Bank – Sell below 1240 for a target of 1233. Below 1230, the stock could slip to 1220-1200 levels.
  7. BHEL – Sustaining below 177, could give quick 2 points profit up to 175. The stock is likely to bounce strongly from 174, so do not hold shorts for long. If sustained below 174, then there will be heavy fall any day.
  8. Reliance Industries – Sell below 764 for a target of 760-756 with SL at 771.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

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Tata Steel, ICICI - Opening Range Breakout Trading

4/05/2013 12:52:00 am  Unknown  No comments

Dear Readers

I have given below two of todays trades. Both based on the levels and Opening Range Breakout.

1. ICICI Bank Intraday Sell - Opening Range Breakout.


2. Tata Steel Intraday Sell - Opening Range Breakout.

Technical Analysis Simplified.
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Thursday, 4 April 2013

Review of todays calls 04 April

4/04/2013 09:12:00 pm  Unknown  1 comment

Dear Readers

We had 8 out of 9 calls achieving targets.

  1. ICICI Bank – Sell below 1025 for a target of 1017 with SL at 1040. Target achieved. Days high was 1023 and days low 1002.
  2. SBI – Sell below 2090 for a target of 2078 with SL at 2110. Below 2075, the next target is 2050. Target achieved. Below 2090, the stock touched 2057. Days high was 2097.
  3. Axis Bank – Sell below 1270 for a target of 1260 with SL at 1285. Target achieved. Below1270, the stock touched 1240.Days high was 1270 exactly.
  4. Tata Steel – Sell below 315 for a target of 313-311 with SL at 318. Target achieved. High was at 315.5. Tata steel touched 303 during the day.
  5. Hero Motors – Sell on rise to 1510 levels with SL at 1522 for a target of 1490. Alternatively below 1485, the next target is 1475 followed by 1460. Call not triggered.
  6. Tata Motors – Sell on rise to 259-60 with SL at 262.50 for a target of 256. Below 256, next target is 253. Short term target for Tata Motors is 242 in next 5-6 trading days. Sold at 260, SL hit.
  7. Bajaj Auto – Sell below 1684 for a target of 1665 with SL at 1700. Target achieved. Below 1684, the stock touched 1656.
  8. L&T – Sell below 1390 levels with SL at 1406 for a target of 1375-60 levels. Target achieved. Days high was 1386. Low was 1353.
  9. Reliance Industries – Sell below 770 for a target of 765-60 with SL at 778. Target achieved. Below 770, Reliance touched 764
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Nifty Outlook and Stocks to trade on 04 April

4/04/2013 02:10:00 am  Unknown  No comments

Nifty crashed below critical support levels on 03April after disappointing PMI data combined with bearishness from global markets. The market over-reacted to the numbers. US markets are also down at the time of writing this.

Nifty Outlook for 04 April

On 03rd April, Nifty touched exactly the support level of 5650 as covered by me in the pre-market call. This is a good support point. If the market moves below and sustains, then it opens up for 5600-5590 levels. 5600 is the level from which markets bounced back in the last down move. Going below this level is highly bearish and could open up 5300 levels as I had written many times before.

For 4th April, Nifty resistance levels are 5700-20 followed by 5745-50..

Support levels are 5625 followed by 5600. Sustaining below 5600 will result in 5580- 5550.

Intraday Calls for 04 April

We are taking only sell positions. There is a possible up move after the big fall, but is unlikely to be sustained.

  1. ICICI Bank – Sell below 1025 for a target of 1017 with SL at 1040.
  2. SBI – Sell below 2090 for a target of 2078 with SL at 2110. Below 2075, the next target is 2050.
  3. Axis Bank – Sell below 1270 for a target of 1260 with SL at 1285.
  4. Tata Steel – Sell below 315 for a target of 313-311 with SL at 318.
  5. Hero Motors – Sell on rise to 1510 levels with SL at 1522 for a target of 1490. Alternatively below 1485, the next target is 1475 followed by 1460.
  6. Tata Motors – Sell on rise to 259-60 with SL at 262.50 for a target of 256. Below 256, next target is 253. Short term target for Tata Motors is 242 in next 5-6 trading days.
  7. Bajaj Auto – Sell below 1684 for a target of 1665 with SL at 1700.
  8. L&T – Sell below 1390 levels with SL at 1406 for a target of 1375-60 levels.
  9. Reliance Industries – Sell below 770 for a target of 765-60 with SL at 778.

I have provided several calls since all of them might not trigger.  Do not take more than 2 positions at a time.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

Bajaj Auto - Opening Range Breakout trade - 80 Points Profit in single trade

4/04/2013 01:59:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

Dear Readers

Here is the video of a highly profitable sell based on Opening Range Breakout of Bajaj Auto. 

One of the biggest advantages of the ORB trading system as explained here is scalping and trend riding in two lots - booking first lot as quick profits and the riding the second lot as long as possible till the stock closes above 20 EMA helping traders to take full advantage of highly bearish days like today. Please see the video for more details on the trade. 


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Wednesday, 3 April 2013

Review of todays calls - 03 April

4/03/2013 11:17:00 pm  Unknown  No comments

Nifty touched exactly the support level in today’s call. Below 5700, 5650 was the target. Nifty low was 5650.1
  1. ONGC – Buy above 319 and book profits at 321 with SL at 316.Call did not get active.
  2. Reliance – Buy above 798 for target of 805-7 with SL at 788. Stock did not sustain above 798
  3. BHEL – Buy above 186 for a target of187. Sustain above187 will see 189-190. SL is 183.50.  Target achieved. Days high was 189.4
  4. Cipla- Buy above 391 for a target of 395. Above 395 , 398- 400 is the target. SL for longs is 388. Target achieved. Days high was 398.5.
  5. Tata Steel – Buy above 322 for 323-324 target with SL at 317.50 Target achieved. Days high was 325
  6. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1055 for 1062-1070 with SL at 1045. Target achieved. Days high was 1062.50
  7. SBI – Buy above 2150 for a target of2160-2170. Above 2170 , a rally towards 2200 is possible. SL is 2135. Days high was 2157
  8. Bajaj Auto – Sell below 1740 for 1733 – 25 with SL at 1760. Target achieved. Below 1740, the stock was close to 1752. Close to 90 points fall.
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Nifty Outlook and Stocks to trade on 03 April

4/03/2013 02:27:00 am  Unknown  No comments

Indian markets made a good up move on 02nd April on renewed buying in pivotal stocks and support from European markets. US markets are rallying with a record new high when this is being written. Sentiment has turned positive for global markets for the time being. We have  PMI data announcement on 03 March which can create some volatility if the data is not favorable.

Nifty view for 03 April

Today Nifty crossed the resistance of 5720-25 levels and touched the next level of 5750 which is a positive sign.

Next resistance is 5780 followed by 5810. Closing above this level will lead the rally to 5880 levels in the coming days.

Support is 5725-5700. Below 5700, markets will slip to  5680-5650.

Avoid intraday longs below 5700. Markets will be positive above 5730 and bullish above 5760.

Intraday Calls for 03 April

  1. ONGC – Buy above 319 and book profits at 321 with SL at 316.
  2. Reliance – Buy above 798 for target of 805-7 with SL at 788.
  3. BHEL – Buy above 186 for a target of187. Sustain above187 will see 189-190. SL is 183.50
  4. Cipla- Buy above 391 for a target of 395. Above 395 , 398- 400 is the target. SL for longs is 388.
  5. Tata Steel – Buy above 322 for 323-324 target with SL at 317.50
  6. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1055 for 1062-1070 with SL at 1045.
  7. SBI – Buy above 2150 for a target of2160-2170. Above 2170 , a rally towards 2200 is possible. SL is 2135.
  8. Bajaj Auto – Sell below 1740 for 1733 – 25 with SL at 1760

I have provided several calls since all of them might not trigger.  Do not take more than 2 positions at a time.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

Tuesday, 2 April 2013

Nifty Outlook and Stocks to Trade on 02 April

4/02/2013 02:19:00 am  Unknown  No comments

Dear Readers
Nifty made modest gains on 1st April the first trading day of the financial year. There were no news on positive or negative side to make a big move. However, there was not much buying seen at days highs. Overall most of the stocks were down from the days high on close. US markets have closed negative on the weak manufacturing data.

Sector View

Realty was the biggest gainer today with DLF, Unitech, HDIL etc gaining 6 to 8%.
IT and Pharma has become strong buy in daily and hourly charts. Cipla, Ranbaxy, Biocon gained between 1 t0 5%. In IT, Infosys gained close to 2%.
Metal and Auto were the two indices closed in negative. Hero Motors, Bajaj Auto closed in negative.

Nifty Outlook for 02 April

Nifty will continue to face resistance at the level 5720-25 as written yesterday. Once this level is crossed 5745-50 , 5780 is the next resistance.
Support levels are 5650, followed by 5625- 5600. Sustaining below 5600 is really bearish for Nifty.
Avoid intraday longs below 5650. Nifty will be positive above 5700 and bullish above 5745.

Intraday Calls for 02 April

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Read more »

Monday, 1 April 2013

Today's trades 01 April - 3 winning and 1 losing trade

4/01/2013 06:29:00 pm  Unknown  No comments

Dear Readers

Todays trades were based on the Opening Range Breakout system. Please click on the below link to understand the system fully.

Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Trading System

  1. Trade 1 - Reliance Sell - Success
  2. Trade 2 - ONGC Sell - Success
  3. Trade 3 - Infosys Buy - Success
  4. Trade 4 - ICICI Sell - Loss
Please post a comment in case of any queries. 

TechnicalAnalysisSimplified
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Nifty Outlook and Stocks to Trade on 01 April

4/01/2013 02:15:00 am  Unknown  1 comment

Dear Readers

Nifty Outlook for 01 April

We saw a short covering rally towards the end of the last trading session on Thursday. As of now Nifty is taking support at 200 DMA levels.

Nifty has an immediate resistance at 5700-25 levels. Clearing this level is important for an upmove.

For 01 April, Support levels are 5625 followed by 5600. Resistance levels are 5720-25, followed by 5745-50 levels.

Avoid any intraday longs below 5600. Nifty will be positive above 5660 and bullish above 5700 levels.

Intraday Calls for 01 April

  1. ICICI Bank – Buy above 1056 for a target of 1066 with SL at 1045.
  2. L&T – Buy above 1380 for a target of 1390 with SL at 1368.
  3. HCLTech – Buy above 807 for a target of 812-816 with SL at 798.
  4. Axis Bank – Buy above 1316 for a target of 1328 with SL at 1295.
  5. SBI – Buy above 2080 for target of 2090 with SL at 2074. Above  2090, the stock is likely to move to 2100-2125
  6. Maruti – Sell below 1270 for target of 1260. Below 1260 1245 is the target. SL for short is 1290.
  7. Hero Honda – Sell below 1540 for a target of 1530-20. SL is 1555.
  8. Reliance – Sell on rise to 775 levels with SL at 785 for targets of 764- 758.
  9. TCS – Buy above 1585 for a target of 1592 with SL at 1565.

I have provided several calls since all of them might not trigger.  Do not take more than 2 positions at a time.

Please take positions only after 9:30 AM.

Please do not trade blindly on these levels. A buy position should be supported by charts giving positive signals. A sell position should be supported by charts giving negative signals. Please see real trades in earlier posts to understand how an intraday long or short is created.

Real Trades Update
Trading Videos

Any significant news which affects individual stocks or  overall market direction will invalidate the technical analysis behind the above views. In such a situation use real time charts to trade.

All the views and contents mentioned in this blog are the personal observations of the author and is in no way a recommendation for the readers to enter into trades of stocks/futures. The author do not accept any liability/loss resulting from the use of any content from this blog. Any act of trading performed by readers should be at their own discretion and neither the author or the sources mentioned in the blog will be responsible for the outcome.

Subscribe for the posts in your favorite reader. Please click on the RSS button in the age.
Those who have not tried an RSS reader, please try www.feedly.com which is one of the best RSS readers for Chrome, Android and iOS.

Read More

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